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Tuesday 23 July 2013

Malaysia's property market still growing strongly


Malaysia's property market still has much room to grow and will benefit from the high property prices in Singapore, said founder and principal trainer of Singapore-based School of Infinite Potential, Kenny Tan (pix).

"Malaysia('s property market) still has much growth. The market here is exciting and there is a lot of potential and resources. Malaysia can become a really solid country with its hardworking people," he told SunBiz in an interview.

Tan, who is also ERA Realty Network Pte Ltd group division director and a practising real estate agent, said property prices in Singapore have driven buyers to Malaysia due to its closeness in terms of proximity and culture.

"A lot of Singaporeans buy their second home or investment properties here. There is a lot of interest here, especially in Iskandar Malaysia (Johor). There is a lot of interest from Singaporeans, but we always advise them to do research prior to investing," he said.

Tan said while Singapore's property market has gone through a few rounds of corrections, property prices in Kuala Lumpur have been constantly rising since 2004.

Although the issues in Europe and the US have resulted in expatriates pulling out and weakening the rental market, there has been a good influx of foreign interest from South Korea and Japan.

"There is still a lot of opportunities for real estate agents in this segment," he added.

Meanwhile, the cooling measures introduced by the Singapore government has also helped attract interest to Malaysia, with Malaysian property developers taking the opportunity to ramp up their marketing efforts in Singapore.

However, there is still strong demand in Singapore's properties despite the cooling measures, especially from Chinese investors, said Tan.

"(It's just that Singaporean) investors are now taking their time to buy instead of rushing in and chasing prices. There are still transactions (in Singapore properties)," he added.

On property buying trends in Malaysia, Tan said it is moving towards online buying, selling and marketing.

"Technology provides convenience and productivity, one can search for properties online at any time and anywhere. This is already happening in Singapore and we foresee that happening in Kuala Lumpur over the next two to three years.

"There is an evident trend that Malaysia is moving towards that direction with the various online forums and property portals," he said.

Tan said going online means buyers can do research before viewing properties or meeting up with agents, saving time and money. At the same time, real estate agents know the calls they get are more likely to be hot leads rather than cold calls.

"However, there is still a segment of buyers who still use newspapers to search for properties. For example, the older generation and those who are less internet-savvy.

"In Singapore, buyers who want to buy landed properties do not search online. There is still a certain type of buyer who like traditional media thus it is important to have both (mediums)," he added.

 By Eva Yeong  sunbiz@thesundaily.com

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Monday 22 July 2013

Worries over systemic risks of shadow banking and mid-tier banks


Analysts have been warning on the risks of China’s “shadow banking” system – a sector estimated to have as much as RM4.15tril in assets. 

RAMADAN is always a good time for reflection.

This year, I’ve been researching a new TV documentary series, Ceritalah Indonesia, that I’m hoping to shoot by September.

I want to tell the story of how Indonesia, having endured the Asian Financial Crisis in 1997/1998, ousted President Suharto and then launched into the tumultuous “Reformasi Era” before finding some degree of stability under President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono.

As a result, I’ve been going over recent history – including the roots of the crisis itself.

Now even though I’m not an economist, it’s been a very interesting journey, especially reading about the various bank failures that sparked off and then deepened the crisis.

Back then, banks seemed to be falling like dominoes: Thailand’s Finance One collapsed spectacularly.

This was followed only a few months later by Bank Indonesia’s surprise decision to close sixteen banks.

As the momentum gathered in intensity, one of Japan’s most important brokerage houses – Sanyo Securities was also shuttered.

Just over a decade later, a similar sequence of events was to take place in Europe and North America as Northern Rock, Iceland’s Landsbanki (better known by its British brand-name Icesave) and Lehman Brothers also failed, leaving in their wake a massive dislocation across the developed world.

Now, as I reflect on the events of 1998 and 2008, I can’t help but sense a similar trend emerging to our north – in China.

Indeed, the next global economic crisis could very well start there. Why?

Well, have you visited the many ghostly, almost totally-empty high-rise communities that have sprung up across the Middle Kingdom?

I can still recall wandering through vast and deserted business quarters in Dalian, Tianjin and Beijing.

At the time, everyone told me that China was different ... well that’s what they said about Thailand, Iceland and Spain.

But now after years of over-building: roads, bridges and railway lines, expanding capacity to the highest degree, people are beginning to question China’s growth model.

For many months now, analysts have been warning on the risks of China’s “shadow banking” system – a sector which some estimate to have as much as US$1.3tril (RM4.15tril) in assets.

“Shadow banking”– is simply non-bank lending and borrowing. Investing in hedge funds, venture capital and private equity are all forms of “shadow banking”.

There’s nothing wrong with this: shadow banking often helps individuals or businesses that would otherwise not qualify for conventional bank loans or get credit.

Also, some shadow banking wealth management products offer lucrative returns.

Shadow banking thrived in China with the liquidity that flooded the market in 2008, when its government pumped in a US$586bil (RM1,828bil) stimulus package in response to the subprime crisis.

All this excess liquidity has, however, causing a housing bubble and also saved a number of underperforming Chinese state-owned enterprises from having to reform.

At the same time, Chinese policymakers were debating long-standing calls for them to cool down their economy – a fateful decision as we will see later.

As the astute Henny Sender wrote in the Financial Times on July 11, the investment products which form the backbone of Chinese “shadow banking” have the potential to create yet another subprime crisis.

Why? Well, many of China’s hedge funds are shorting the shares of China’s weaker banks. Does that sound familiar?

According to Sender: “… second-tier banks listed in Hong Kong or in mainland China, including China Merchants, China Minsheng Banking and tiny Huaxia, are vulnerable” as they “… have less ability to absorb losses and more of their balance sheets are tied up with shadow-like activities.”

Minsheng, founded in 1996, is China’s ninth-largest bank by assets and the only private bank amongst its top 10 commercial lenders.

It also, according to JP Morgan, has the fastest growth in inter-bank assets and the highest weighting of interbank liabilities to total interest bearing liabilities.

As mentioned, China’s government was initially determined to “cool” its economy.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) hence refused to intervene when the Shanghai interbank offered rate (“Shibor”, China’s LIBOR) spiked to an all-time high, to almost 14% from 3% previously.

This led to fears that the sudden “credit crunch” would leave banks like Minsheng at risk of default, the very thing that caused the collapse of Western banks like Lehman in 2008 due to a sudden lack of liquidity.

Indeed, in late June worried investors sent Minsheng’s shares down by 16.7%, wiping out US$6bil (RM18.7bil) of its market value.

Talk of a crisis forced the PBOC to promise to end the credit crunch.

Still, worries over China’s shadow banking system persist.

As Fitch Ratings has stressed, systemic risk over China’s mid-tier banks is rising due to their credit exposure and weakness in absorbing losses.

It remains to be seen whether banks like Minsheng will indeed become China’s Lehman.

But this much is clear: those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it.

Ceritalah  By KARIM RASLAN

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Sunday 21 July 2013

Property investments: good Infrastructure a way to huge profits and success

Buy property with good connectivity, investors advised - The road to huge profits
 
Packed room: Lee giving his talk on ‘Infrastructure goes a long way when picking the best property’ during The Star Property Fair 2013 at G Hotel, Penang. http://www.zeon.com.my/index.html





PROPERTY investors should look out for the connectivity of road infrastructure when it comes to securing ideal property, said Zeon Properties chief executive officer Leon Lee in Penang.

He said infrastructure such as transportation hubs and bridges were vital elements that ensured property prices in their surrounding areas would soar.

Citing an example, Lee said the completion of a bridge connecting Shenzhen, China, and the New Territories of Hong Kong, had seen property prices in the surrounding areas escalating by about 155% over a period of 10 years.

He singled out another example in the form of the Malaysia-Singapore second link connecting Tanjung Kupang, Johor and Tuas in Singapore.

“In 2002, the property price in New Territories of Hong Kong was about HKD$29,522 (RM12,154) per sq m.

“It shot up to HKD$75,416 (RM31,049) in 2013, which took only about 10 years.

“My logic is simple, just watch out for those infrastructure. If there is connectivity or the distance between one place and another is shortened, property prices in that area will surely shoot up,” he told the participants during his talk titled ‘Infrastructure Goes a Long Way When Picking the Best Property’ at G Hotel on Saturday.

On a local perspective, Lee said the prices of property in Batu Maung had increased significantly as the second Penang bridge is scheduled to open to traffic soon.

“In 2007, a terrace house in Batu Maung was worth about RM700,000. But now, a similar unit is priced at RM1.4mil. This is evident to my point earlier,” he said.

He added that Penangites should take notice of the recent announcement by the state government, including the 6.5km undersea tunnel project linking Gurney Drive and Bagan Ajam.

The projects also comprise a 4.6km bypass linking Air Itam to Tun Dr Lim Chong Eu Expressway, 12km Tanjung Bungah-Teluk Bahang paired road and a 4.2km stretch between Gurney Drive and Tun Dr Lim Chong Eu Expressway, bypassing the city centre.

“Chances are high that property prices will boom in the surrounding areas,” Lee said.

The talk was sponsored by Hong Leong Bank.

 Penang Property Fair a huge success

Upwards: Potential buyers looking at the MRCB project during the final day of the Property Fair at Gurney Plaza in Penang.

GEORGE TOWN: The Star Property Fair 2013 concluded with Penang and Kuala Lumpur-based developers locking in some RM227.6mil from the sales of residential and commercial properties showcased in G Hotel and Gurney Plaza.

Seven of the property development companies exclusively marketed by Zeon Properties Sdn Bhd generated RM136mil in sales over the past four days from Thursday.

Masmeyer Holdings Sdn Bhd generated RM50mil in sales from some 50 units of its Marinox condominium in Tanjung Tokong.

Zeon chief executive officer Leon Lee said Singapore-based UOA Group and Magna Putih respectively sold about RM25mil and RM20mil worth of property in Kuala Lumpur and Penang.

“UOA sold about 25 units of its Scenaria@North Kiara Hills condominium project in Mont Kiara while Magna Putih sold 20 units of its Mansion One serviced suites in Jalan Sultan Ahmad Shah, Penang.

“Other developers such as Mayland Universal Sdn Bhd (RM15mil), Mammoth Empire Holdings Sdn Bhd (RM10mil), Malaysian Resources Corp Bhd (RM15mil), and Venn Properties Sdn Bhd (RM6mil) registered RM46mil in sales,” he said.

Lee said the achievement was higher than anticipated in view of the increasing difficulty for buyers to obtain bank financing nowadays, adding that partial payments were received for the sales.

“Among the projects that attracted much attention and enquiries included Venn Signature, a gated terraced project by Venn Properties in Jalan Raja Uda, Butterworth.

“Penang investors were also attracted to the Scenaria@North Kiara Hills by UOA Group, as the units are priced competitively,” he said.

UEM Sunrise Berhad, SP Setia Bhd, Bukit Kiara Properties Sdn Bhd, TPPT Sdn Bhd, and Lone Pine Group achieved RM68.6mil in sales during the event which ended yesterday.

SP Setia sales and marketing manager Susie Loh said they secured RM18.6mil in sales despite many people not being able to make up their mind on the spot.

 Visitors having a look at a property model at the SP Setia Berhad Group booth during the fair in Gurney Plaza.
Visitors having a look at a property model at the SP Setia Berhad Group booth during the fair in Gurney Plaza

“But we are hopeful of converting a large number office reservations into sales. Many wanted to check out our project sites before signing.”

UEM sales and marketing senior manager Shamsul Bahari Aini said they managed to hit RM20mil.

“We sold about 15 units and this is one of our best results in The Star Property Fair.

“In fact, I believe we can even surpass our target as there are at least five buyers who looked really interested in our projects,” he said.

BHL Waterfront Sdn Bhd and Bandar Utama Development Sdn Bhd secured RM20mil and RM3mil in sales respectively.

The Star advertising sales and business development manager (north) Simone Liong said about 40,000 people visited the fair.

The official event partner is Zeon Properties and Hong Leong Bank is the sponsor.

By DAVID TAN and TAN SIN CHOW newsdesk@thestar.com.my/Asia News Network

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