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Tuesday, 19 December 2023

United Nations Honor, United States Shame in Gaza


United Nations Honor, United States Shame in Gaza

United Nations Honor, United States Shame in Gaza Injured Palestinians are brought to Al-Aqsa Martyrs Hospital for medical treatment as Israeli attacks continue in Deir al Balah, Gaza on December 11, 2023. (Photo by Ashraf Amra/Anadolu via Getty Image

https://youtu.be/wm4qLWc_Co0?si=b7ptJa9SHc_50J7r

When Washington vetoed a ceasefire in Gaza Friday, it stood alone against international law as the U.K. — its tutor in imperial brutality — dutifully abstained, writes Jeffrey Sachs.

Long Island City, N.Y., skyline, with full moon behind the sculpture “Let Us Beat Our Swords into Ploughshares” at U.N. headquarters, Sept. 21, 2021. (UN Photo/Manuel Elías)

By Jeffrey D. Sachs
Common Dreams

The nearly unanimous vote in the U.N. Security Council on Friday calling for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza is a moment of honor for the United Nations and shame for the United States.

By voting to stop Israel’s war on Gaza by a vote of 13 yes, one no (U.S.), and one abstention (U.K.), the vast majority put itself on the side of international law. The U.S. stood alone against international law, with its sidekick and tutor in imperial brutality, the United Kingdom, dutifully abstaining.

[Related: What US Got Most Crucially Wrong in UN Veto]

U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres honored the U.N. and human decency by invoking Article 99 of the U.N. Charter, calling for the U.N. Security Council to stop the killing in Gaza as a basic responsibility under the U.N. Charter.

Each day, U.N. officials on the ground in Gaza heroically struggle to feed, shelter and protect the population from Israeli bombs. More than 100 U.N. staff have been killed in the Israeli assault.

The situation in Gaza is as clear as it is brutal. The State of Palestine, recognized by 139 nations, has long suffered from the brutalities of Israeli occupation in Gaza and the West Bank. Gaza has been called the world’s largest open-air prison by Human Rights Watch.

After the Hamas-led horrific terrorist attack on Oct. 7, in which 1,200 Israelis died, Israel began to ethnically cleanse Gaza. Legal specialists at the Center for Constitutional Rights regard Israel’s actions as a genocide.

To date, more than 17,400 Gazans have been killed, and an unfathomable 1.8 million Gazans have been displaced. Tens of thousands are at risk of imminent death. Last month, Guterres warned that “Gaza is becoming a graveyard for children.” Israel pushed the population from northern Gaza to the south, and then invaded the south. Israeli authorities told Gazans to flee for their life to zones within the south, and then bombed the places to which the Gazans had been directed.

The U.S. is more than a protector of Israel. It is an accomplice. The U.S. supplies, in real-time, the munitions Israel uses for mass murder, even as U.S. authorities pay lip-service to Gazan civilian lives.

Robert A. Wood, deputy U.S. ambassador to the U.N., centre at table, on Dec. 8, when the U.S. cast the lone vote against a ceasefire in Gaza. (UN Photo/Loey Felipe)

The President of Israel Isaac Herzog justifies the slaughter by declaring that there are no innocent civilian Gazans: “It is an entire nation out there that is responsible.”

The Israeli government’s biggest lie is that Israel has no options other than the mass killing of Gazans, supposedly to defeat Hamas.
The fact that Israel was lulled by its arrogance into letting its guard down on Oct. 7 does not make Hamas an existential threat. Hamas has only a tiny fraction of Israel’s military might.

Oct. 7, like 9/11 in the U.S., was a colossal security blunder that should be immediately corrected by stepped-up border security, not an existential threat that in any remote manner justifies the killing of thousands or tens of thousands of innocent civilians, with women and children constituting 70 percent of the victims. 

The killing frenzy is being led by the very same politicians who were responsible for the Oct. 7 security failure and who now manipulate the deepest anxieties of the Israeli population.

There is a larger and far more important point. Hamas can be demobilized through diplomacy, and only through diplomacy. Israel and the United States need finally to abide by international law, accept a sovereign state of Palestine alongside Israel, and welcome Palestine as the 194th member state of the U.N. 

U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres on Dec. 8, as the Security Council met on a letter he had written invoking Article 99 of the U.N. Charter, asking the council to act on the humanitarian criss in Gaza. (UN Photo/Loey Felipe)

The U.S. needs to stop arming the Israeli operation of ethnic cleansing in Gaza and stop protecting Israel’s rampant violations of basic human rights in the West Bank. Fifty-six years after its illegal occupation of Palestinian lands, and after decades of illegal settlements in the occupied territories, Israel needs finally to withdraw from the occupied Palestinian lands.

With such steps, peace between Israel and the neighboring countries could and would be secured. On that basis, U.N. peacekeepers, including both Arab and Western troops, would in turn secure the Israel-Palestine border for a needed transition period. At the same time, all international flows of financing to anti-Israel militants would be choked off by joint and coordinated actions of the U.S., Europe and Israel’s Arab and Islamic neighbors.

The diplomatic route is open because the Arab and Islamic countries (including Iran) have once again reiterated their long-standing desire for peace with Israel as part of a peace agreement that establishes Palestine along the 1967 borders and its capital in East Jerusalem.

The real reason for Israel’s war in Gaza is that the government of Israel rejects the two-state solution, and points to extremists on the other side rather than to the Arab and Islamic states, which want peace based on the two-state solution.

Israeli zealots, including several in the cabinet, believe that God promised them all of the lands from the Euphrates to the Mediterranean. This belief is fatuous. As Jewish history should make clear to religious Jews, and as all human history should make clear generally, no group, whether Jewish or otherwise, has an unconditional “right” to any land. 

Palestinians after an Israeli airstrikes in Khan Younis in the southern Gaza strip on Oct. 8. (Mahmoud Fareed, Palestinian News & Information Agency or Wafa, in contract with APAimages, CC BY-SA 3.0)

For rights to be secured and internationally respected in our day, governments need to abide by the international rule of law. In the case of Israel and Palestine, international law, as expressed repeatedly by the U.N. Security Council, holds that two sovereign states, Israel and Palestine, have both the right and responsibility to live side-by-side in peace according to the 1967 borders.

Not only Israel, but even perhaps more so the United States, has lost its way. The deep reason was clear to Senator J. William Fulbright 60 years ago, when Fulbright was chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and wrote the magnificent book, The Arrogance of Power

Fulbright pointed to arrogance as the deep cause of America’s reckless war in Vietnam in the 1960s. In its ongoing arrogance, the U.S. military-security state repeatedly ignores the will of the international community and international law because it believes that weapons and power enable it to do so. U.S. foreign policy is based heavily on covert, illegal regime-change operations and on perpetual warfare that caters to the U.S. military-industrial complex.

We must not become cynical about the U.N. It is currently blocked by the U.S., the country that led its creation under America’s greatest president, Franklin Delano Roosevelt. 

The U.N. is doing its job, building international law, sustainable development and universal human rights, step-by-step, with advances and reverses, over the opposition of powerful forces, but with the arc of history on its side. International law is a relatively new human creation, still in the works. It is difficult to achieve in the face of obstreperous imperial power, but we must pursue it.

It is important to note that opposing Israel’s war crimes has absolutely nothing to do with anti-Semitism. This point has been made eloquently in an open letter by dozens of Jewish writers. 

Israel’s Prime Minster Benjamin Netanyahu doesn’t speak for Judaism. The Israeli government violates the most sacred of all Jewish injunctions, to protect life (Pikuach Nefesh) and to love your neighbor as yourself (Leviticus 19:18).

The message of Jewish ethics is found in the words of the Prophet Isaiah (Isaiah 2:4) inscribed on a wall directly facing the United Nations: “They shall beat their swords into ploughshares, and their spears into pruning hooks; nation shall not lift up sword against nation, neither shall they learn war anymore.”

Jeffrey D. Sachs is a university professor and director of the Center for Sustainable Development at Columbia University, where he directed The Earth Institute from 2002 until 2016. He is also president of the U.N. Sustainable Development Solutions Network and a commissioner of the UN Broadband Commission for Development.

This article is from Common Dreams.

Monday, 18 December 2023

Protect yourself and your community from disease; Remember to wash your hands

Getting vaccinated is not just about ensuring you don’t fall ill, but also about saving those around you from getting sick.


— Graphics: Positive Parenting This is how an infectious disease with an r-naught of four spreads from one patient.

herd immunity




VACCINATION directly protects individuals who are vaccinated against certain infections, but it can also provide indirect protection to the unvaccinated in a population.

This is what we call herd immunity or community immunity. It is a key aspect of epidemic control.

To understand herd immunity, we need to be familiar with certain terms.

Firstly, we have to know the infectiousness of a disease, indicated by its basic reproduction number (R-naught or R0).

This can be defined as the expected number of new infections generated by one infectious individual in a fully vulnerable population without any control measures.

For example, an infectious disease with an R-naught of four means that one case is expected to generate four other cases.

The higher the R-naught, the more infectious the disease is.

Each infectious disease has its own R-naught and it may vary across populations and over time, depending on various factors.

The R-naught in turn determines the herd immunity threshold (HIT), which is the minimum level of vaccination coverage or minimum number of immune individuals in a population that must be achieved to produce herd immunity against a certain infection.

An easy way to calculate HIT is by using this equation: HIT = 1 – 1/R-naught.

Hence, to achieve herd immunity against a disease with R-naught of four, at least 3/4 or 75% of the population have to be immunised.

This calculation assumes that susceptible and infectious individuals in a population are equally in contact with one another and spread the infection in the same way.

From this, we can deduce that the more infectious the disease, the higher the R-naught, and thus, the higher the HIT, and the more the people that need to be vaccinated to achieve herd immunity in a population.

When enough people are vaccinated against a particular disease, they will be able to ‘protect’ those who are unable to be vaccinated from those who are infected.

For optimal benefit


Various other factors play crucial roles to ensure that optimal herd immunity can be achieved via vaccination.

They include:

> High vaccine effectiveness


This is key to attaining optimal herd immunity.

Vaccine effectiveness varies between different populations and regions.

However, not all vaccines stimulate lifelong immunity and this may decrease herd immunity over time.

The effect of waning immunity can be mitigated by increasing vaccination coverage or taking booster shots. >

Reduced transmission potential (or force of infection)

Vaccination efforts need to target the main reservoir of infection, i.e. groups who are most likely to get and spread the infection.

Low vaccine coverage among these groups may compromise herd immunity, even though overall coverage is high.

This also depends on the route of transmission of the pathogen.

> Appropriate vaccine uptake

Optimal herd immunity is more likely to be achieved when vaccine coverage is at the higher end of the HIT.

Another important factor is appropriate distribution patterns.

This can be achieved by targeting those who are highly exposed to the infection (e.g. healthcare workers) and vulnerable populations (e.g. infants and the elderly).

The timeliness in receiving the vaccine also impacts the effectiveness of the vaccination programme, and thus, herd immunity.

For example, in the United Kingdom, the occurrence of invasive pneumococcal disease in unvaccinated adults aged over 65 years has been reduced by 81% after the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) was included as part of routine immunisation for infants under two years old.

Protecting the vulnerable

The best-case scenario is to have 100% vaccine effectiveness and coverage, but the reality is far from perfect.

No vaccine is 100% effective, and there are people who cannot get vaccinated or do not elicit strong immune responses from vaccines.

These include newborns, people allergic to certain vaccines, people with weakened or failing immune systems, or elderly with chronic diseases.

This is where herd immunity comes into play, providing indirect protection to these groups.

Optimal herd immunity via vaccination also counteracts waning immunity.

Protection with certain vaccines can diminish with time, e.g. pertussis vaccination starts to weaken after two years.

Thus, people with waning immunity are exposed to infection unless herd immunity is strong and vaccine uptake is sustained.

Apart from the vulnerable population, the following groups of people should also get vaccinated:

> Families and close contacts of those considered as vulnerable

> Caregivers of children, elderly

and sick patients > Healthcare or hospital workers.

When you get yourself vaccinated, you’re not only protecting yourself, but also your loved ones and other vulnerable individuals in the population.

As you can see now, vaccination is crucial and the safest way to achieve optimal herd immunity!


 Datuk Dr Musa Mohd  a paediatrician and Universiti Putra Malaysia lecturer. Datuk Dr Musa Mohd Nordin is a consultant paediatrician and neonatologist. This article is courtesy of the Malaysian Paediatric Association’s Positive Parenting programme in collaboration with expert partners. For further information, please email starhealth@thestar.com.my. The information provided is for educational and communication purposes only, and it should not be construed as personal medical advice. Information published in this article is not intended to replace, supplant or augment a consultation with a health professional regarding the reader’s own medical care. The Star does not give any warranty on accuracy, completeness, functionality, usefulness or other assurances as to the content appearing in this column. The Star disclaims all responsibility for any losses, damage to property or personal injury suffered directly or indirectly from reliance on such information.

The Star Malaysia17 Dec 2023By Dr HUSNA MUSA and Datuk Dr MUSA MOHD NORDIN
By Dr HUSNA MUSA and Datuk Dr MUSA MOHD NORDIN

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2023/12/17/remember-to-wash-your-hands


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Saturday, 16 December 2023

Goodbye 2023; Hello 2024

 


2023 will be remembered as a tipping point year when almost all mega-trends of finance, technology, trade, geopolitics, war and climate heating showed signs of acceleration in speed, scale and scope.


You can call this a state of permacrises, a series of cascading shocks that seem to be building up to a bigger shock sometime in the future.

In finance, the year began with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank on 10 March 2023, followed by Signature Bank. The Fed and FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) acted fast to guarantee all deposits to stop what is now called “Twitter Deposit Runs” against banks. In Switzerland, Credit Suisse was taken over by UBS on 19 March, after the bank lost nearly US$ 75 billion worth of deposits in three months. Swiss financial credibility was hurt when Credit Suisse AT1 (Tier One bonds) bond-holders became outraged that they should suffer write-downs ahead of equity holders.



Although prompt action by the Fed and Suisse financial authorities averted global contagion and restored calm to financial markets, the Fed hiked interest rates four times in 2023 to 5.25-5.5% to tackle inflation. This month, gold prices touched a record high of US$2,100 per ounce, signalling anticipated inflation abatement, but escalated geopolitical tensions.




In technology, 2023 marked the seismic arrival of generative artificial intelligence (AI), through the public launch of ChatGPT in November 2022. Commercialized AI is considered the next big thing after the internet, sparking off a US tech stock rally, led by the Magnificent Seven companies in AI-related software and hardware. The rally averted a year of portfolio losses in financial markets hurt by interest rate hikes.

In trade, the latest UNCTAD Global Trade Update found that global trade will shrink by 5% to US$ 30.7 trillion in 2023, with trade in goods declining by nearly US$2 trillion, whereas trade in services would expand by US$500 billion. The outlook for 2024 is pessimistic because trade issues are now geopolitical, rather than purely market-driven. Global supply chains are either decoupling or de-risking to avoid possible sanctions which have been imposed for geopolitical reasons.




Geopolitics dominated headlines in 2023, as diplomacy played second fiddle to the militarization or weaponization of everything.

The biggest risk faced by businesses today is national security risk, in case companies or financial institutions are caught in geopolitical tit-for-tat arising from binary differences in values. Where national security is concerned, the business must bear all the costs of supply chain restructuring with no questions asked, or face possible existential shutdowns.

War broke out in Gaza/Israel In October with a scale of civilian slaughter more horrific and intense than the Ukraine war, which began in February 2022. The latest war count to June 2023 by The Armed Conflict Survey 2023 (1 May 2022–30 June 2023), showed global fatalities and events increasing horrendously by 14% and 28% respectively.



The authoritative Stockholm International Peace and Research Institute (SIPRI) reported that 56 countries were involved in armed conflict in 2022, 5 more than in 2021. Three (Ukraine, Myanmar and Nigeria) involved 10,000 or more estimated deaths, with 16 cases involving 1000–9999 deaths. Expect more conflicts when natural disasters hurt food, water and energy supplies.




As 100,000 or so delegates leave the United Arab Emirates at the end of the COP28 this month, the UN painted an upbeat tone that the Conference marked the “beginning of the end” of the fossil-fuel era.  Scientists confirm that we have already passed the point of being able to limit carbon emissions for the average global temperature to remain below 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.   Most studies show that if most governments fail to meet their current commitments to NetZero, the planet will be struggling with temperatures above 2 degrees Celsius, meaning more natural disasters, rising seas and/or migration/conflicts.  Every three weeks, the US has experienced at least one natural disaster costing more than $1 billion in damages.  

As one cynic said, natural disasters are where the rich just pay in money, but the poor pay in their lives.

Putting all these mega-trend micro-disasters together suggests that a mega-system disaster may be on the cards. Historically, these seismic-scale disturbances are settled through a massive recession, like the 1930s Great Depression, or wars, which wipe out debt and make everyone poorer.

So far, the world has neglected to address these looming issues by either denying or postponement - printing more money and incurring more debt. Painkillers do not fix structural imbalances.

As my favourite poet TS Eliot said, the world ends not with a bang, but with a whimper. The world is in permacrises, with no one fully in charge. Democratic governance is in flux when no one can agree on the problems, let alone the solutions.

2024 will see some decisive but messy elections, especially in the US where both Presidential candidates may either be impeached or convicted by then. This cannot auger well for everyone, because 2023 marks the turning point when the US lost the respect of the Global South over its catastrophic handling of Ukraine and Gaza, both of which will be fought to the last Ukrainian or Palestinian. The morality of allowing other people to fight and die for one’s benefit shows not hypocrisy but hegemonic-scale cowardice.

The bottom line is that there is no shortage of technology or money to deal with the global existential threats of climate change and social imbalances. We cannot align policy intent (what politicians say they will do) with the reality that current policies are not delivering.

If man-made or natural calamities are looming, do we mitigate or adapt? On a single planet, we can run but not hide. So each of us must decide to do what we can, rather than relying on politicians to fix themselves, let alone our problems.

There is a wise saying about Christmas charity: give with warm hands. Do that now, or we will be giving with boiled hands or none at all.

Best wishes for 2024.

Andrew Sheng, Asia News Network