Share This

Sunday, 16 May 2010

Can Social Networks Be Generated Automatically?

Companies face challenges mining social ties.

When Google launched Buzz, a microblogging social network, several months ago, the company boasted that the network had been generated automatically, by algorithms that could connect users to each other based on communications revealed through Gmail and other services.
Linked in: Researchers from Yahoo examined e-mails from a university (top) and from Enron (below); the shape of each network changed a great deal depending on how connections were defined.
Credit: Yahoo

However, many users balked at having what they perceived as mischaracterized social connections, forcing the company to frantically backpedal and make the Buzz service less automated and more under users' control.

This incident notwithstanding, many companies are increasingly interested in automatically determining users' social ties through e-mail and social network communications. For example, IBM's Lotus division offers a product called Atlas that constructs social data from corporate communications, and Microsoft has investigated using such data to automatically prioritize the e-mails that workers receive. But researchers say there are a lot of unsolved problems with generating and analyzing social networks based on patterns of communication.

In a paper presented recently at the WWW2010 conference in Raleigh, NC, a group of researchers from Yahoo pointed out that before it's possible to construct an accurate picture of a social network, researchers have to do a better job of defining what it takes for two people to be connected. Should two people be considered friends if they've exchanged e-mails once? Or should it take 10 exchanges before their connection counts?

"You don't get to directly observe relationships, you get to observe communication events," says Jake Hofman, a researcher in Yahoo Research's social dynamics group, who was involved with the work. 
Algorithms will infer dramatically different social network structures based on different interpretations of these communications events. Such networks might be more suitable for different circumstances. For example, a network based on relatively infrequent communications might turn out to work well for sharing tagged news items. More frequent communications might work better for networks designed for sharing more intimate information.

"For the most part, the thresholds we set [for automatically generating social networks] are arbitrary," says Lada Adamic, an assistant professor in the School of Information and the Center for the Study of Complex Systems at the University of Michigan. Adamic notes that there are other questions than the ones raised by the Yahoo paper. For instance, she says, most algorithms define networks simplistically--people are either connected or not, without a way to indicate the gray areas common in real life.

She says it's possible to keep refining the algorithms, but there will always be errors because the data available won't capture the whole pattern. For example, two people might not e-mail each other, but they may talk regularly over the phone or in person.

Incomplete information can throw off attempts to characterize social networks automatically, says Eric Gilbert, who will be an assistant professor of interactive computing at Georgia Tech starting this fall. Algorithms can miss identifying the most intimate connections because these are likely to be face-to-face rather than digital communication--what Gilbert calls it the "spouse problem" or "the roommate problem."
Gilbert has found that studying the structure of a network in greater detail can compensate for this to a degree. For example, a married couple is likely to share a large number of friends. But he acknowledges that this doesn't solve the problem altogether.

On the flip side of the spouse problem is "the ex problem," which was highlighted during the launch of Buzz. This occurs when algorithms connect two people who may have communicated frequently at one point but no longer do, and no longer wish to--such as estranged romantic partners. Gilbert explains that it's hard to automatically discover an event such as a breakup because of the complex variables that surround it. Two people may stop communicating because one is busy, or on vacation. Algorithms would have to examine and compare complex behavior over time and in the context of other connections to understand this.

Munmun De Choudhury, who was involved with the Yahoo research and now works at Microsoft Research, says that more research can be done to help algorithms better understand the nature of social connections. Frequent e-mails could indicate either a very positive or very negative relationship, for example, and additional analysis might help algorithms identify the difference between the two.

Ultimately, Adamic says, it is a question of how much error can be tolerated when generating a network automatically. In some cases, algorithms that mine e-mail and other communications work quite well, and can be used to save time by providing an overview of connections or filtering information.

Automatically inferring the nature of social connections may be useful for prioritizing messages or establishing privacy settings that a user could then approve. However, "you don't want to overinfer or get so fine-grained that it's creepy," Gilbert cautions.
All the researchers agree that allowing users to clean up any errors introduced by the algorithms is crucial to progress. "You always have the option of bringing in the human element," says Adamic. "You could always take a step where the algorithm is 95 percent accurate and you let individuals handle the last 5 percent."

By Erica Naone

 Newscribe : get free news in real time

Related Articles

» Will Twitter's Ad Strategy Work?
Twitter will have to overcome several challenges for the scheme to be successful.
» Unmasking Social-Network Users
Researchers find a way to identify individuals in supposedly anonymous social-network data.
» Between Friends
Sites like Facebook are proving the value of the "social graph."








Non-Flash video surges onto the web

Maniacal chuckling at One Infinite Loop
Steve Jobs is one-quarter of the way to victory in his increasingly heated take-no-prisoners assault on Adobe Flash.

According to a survey conducted by video aggregator MeFeedia, 26 per cent of all web video is now available for playback withthe HTML5 <video> tag and the H.264 codec. That means that 26 per cent of web video is now viewable on the iPhone/Pod/Pad. And, of course, Steve Jobs asserts that it's the most important 26 per cent.

MeFeedia's CEO Frank Sinton tells The Reg that the survey's was a large one: content from over 30,000 sources. Sites in the MeFeedia Video Index include Hulu, YouTube, Vimeo, and DailyMotion, plus music videos from Vevo and MTV, and news from AP, ABC, CBS, and CNN.

We'll call that a data set comprehensive enough to make an acceptably accurate ballpark estimate of web-video encoding practices.

Although Adobe Flash can act as an envelope for H.264-encoded video content, that content can't be viewed on devices that don't support Flash - say, Apple's iPhone/Pod/Pad - even though those devices can decode H.264 video when it's presented by HTML5.

Optimistic Adobe execs might come to the conclusion that their Flash glass is a hefty 74 per cent full and a mere 26 per cent empty, but the trend line is not in their favor: when MeFeedia conducted the same analysis at the beginning of this year, only 10 per cent of the video they analyzed was HTML5/H.264.

And there's plenty of H.264 video out there available for conversion to the HTML5 <video> tag. "Total H.264 is actually higher than 26 per cent," Sinton told us. "A lot of Flash video is a wrapper around H.264. Some observers suggest total H.264 is around 67 per cent of web video, but we don't believe it's that high. Ogg, by the way, is seeing much lower adoption."

But none of that Flash-based H.264 video will play on Steve Jobs' mobile devices - and we're willing to bet the farm, our right arm, and certain family jewels that Adobe will remain banished from Cupertino's hot properties.

No wonder that Adobe is both running a self-promoting ad campaign and trotting out company co-founders - and respected pioneers - Chuck Geschke and John Warnock to provide their views on Cupertino's Flash-bashing.

Adobe is spooked - and according to MeFeedia's data about the advance of HTML5, they have every reason to be. ®


Saturday, 15 May 2010

Bill Clinton to entrepreneurs: Think globally

WASHINGTON, D.C. (CNNMoney.com) -- Former President Bill Clinton exhorted 650 of the country's youngest entrepreneurs to look beyond their own business ambitions and use their positions to benefit the less fortunate worldwide.

"The mission of humanity and the mission of America in the 21st century is to build up the positive and reduce the negative forces of our interdependence," Clinton said Friday night.

Clinton spoke at the Summit Series, a three-day conference of networking, discussions and activities for young entrepreneurs. The twentysomething, early thirtysomething crowd of CEOs, founders and investors come from a range of backgrounds.

Half the world lives on less than $2 per day, Clinton noted. "I really believe that the definition of citizenship is being fundamentally altered by the level of interdependence that we have."

In the age of record budget deficits, government agencies don't have enough resources to help the underserved, Clinton said. He pointed to the gap between what the government and the global network of nonprofits can afford to do and what is demanded of them.

"In the best of all worlds you will have a continuous interface with what is done by the government, the private sector and the NGOs [non-governmental organizations]," he said. But "we will always need citizen action," and that is where entrepreneurs can really take hold. "Businesses can find a way to make money with a humanitarian rule."

One attendee, Melissa Kushner, the 29-year-old founder of Goods for Goods, took heed. Her New York nonprofit company funnels surplus materials - like fabric and office supplies - to South African nations, primarily Malawi. She has three employees in the United States and two abroad.

"I thought it was absolutely amazing how smoothly he integrated so many of the issues we are facing all over our globe," Kushner said.

Katie Johnston, another attendee, works for an Ernst & Young unit that focuses on high-growth, entrepreneurial companies. "This is such a highly motivated audience," she said. All the attendees have "some sort of social service: the line between business and social causes is blurring, at least for this generation."

The Summit Series is decidedly hip. There are no suits for these CEOs. Jeans and sneakers mix with flip flops and an occasional blazer. The evenings offer clubs, DJs and late-night snacks. There is no time for keeping track of business cards:

The Summit Series entrepreneurs use "MingleSticks" to keep up with who's who. When an attendee meets a new friend or business partner, they point their "MingleSticks" at each other and wait for a green light to tell them contact information has been passed.

Despite the fun atmosphere, the task list is ambitious.


A look at what inspires young entrepreneurs to create change:  http://money.cnn.com/video/smallbusiness/2010/05/14/smb_summit_inspire.cnnmoney/


Clinton spoke of his current concerns about rebuilding Haiti and revamping the U.S. health care system and reining in higher education costs. He also talked about efforts to provide health care to impoverished countries and the need for funding to get medicine to those nations.

One attendee was glad to hear the former president hitting the global issues hard. "It was really interesting to see a man of President Clinton's intellect -- when he is out of office -- being able to speak so candidly," said Jake Strom, who runs marketing and strategy for TOMS Shoes

Newscribe : get free news in real time
By Catherine Clifford   To top of page