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Sunday, 11 April 2010

How dire is the threat of nuclear terrorism?

While the administration of U. S. President Barack Obama has named nuclear terrorism a major threat to the United States, experts differ over the likelihood of a nuclear attack on U.S. soil.

The matter will see much debate next week, as Obama is expected to host the Global Nuclear Security Summit in Washington in a bid to find international consensus on how to secure vulnerable nuclear materials worldwide and keep them out of the hands of groups such as al-Qaeda.

Some experts paint the threat as dire, pointing out that the know-how to build a weapon and the materials are out there, and contending that that is why Obama is taking the possibility of attack very seriously.

Others downplay the threat, arguing that while an attack would be devastating, the odds of radicals obtaining nuclear materials, constructing a bomb and setting it off are low.

For one thing, building a deployable nuclear device is difficult even for states, in spite of access to universities, teams of scientists, huge facilities and large state budgets all aimed at creating a nuclear weapon. A terror organization not backed by a national government and without access to the full panoply of resources, would be hard pressed to launch a successful nuclear attack, some experts believe.

Purchasing a weapon of mass destruction would also pose a hurdle to militants, some experts said, as the United States spends hefty sums -- around 1 billion dollars per year -- to track and buy fissile material in a bid to keep it off the market.

Still, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton recently told CNN that weapons of mass destruction in the hands of a militant group such as al-Qaeda were the biggest threat to the United States.

"The biggest nightmare that many of us have is that one of these terrorist member organizations within this syndicate of terror will get their hands on a weapon of mass destruction," she said.

Clinton said al-Qaeda remained "unfortunately a very committed, clever, diabolical group of terrorists who are always looking for weaknesses and openings."

Indeed, the possibility of attack by a "dirty bomb" -- a crude radiological weapon -- came to light in 2002 after the arrest of Jose Padilla, a U.S. citizen accused of plotting an attack on the United States, although the case was dropped and Padilla was instead convicted of conspiring to kill people in an overseas jihad.

In November 2006, British intelligence warned that al-Qaeda was plotting to mount a nuclear attack against British cities by acquiring chemical, biological, radiological or nuclear weapons.

In June 2007, the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation released the name Adnan Gulshair Muhammad el Shukrijumah, the alleged al- Qaeda operative said to be in charge of developing plans to simultaneously launch attacks against several U.S. cities.

The Fissile Materials Working Group, an organization collaborating in a series of meetings designed to create consensus on controlling fissile materials, called nuclear terrorism the number one threat the international community faces. And with enough materials worldwide to build 120,000 nuclear bombs, the possibility that a terrorist network could buy or steal such material is far too high, as not all the world's nuclear materials are secure, the organization said in a statement.

Worldwide there are roughly 1,600 metric tons of highly enriched uranium and 500 metric tons of plutonium stockpiled and in weapons. The majority of these materials are in weapons, but some are also used in civil applications, the group said.

The largest stockpiles are in Russia and the second largest is in the United States. The United Kingdom, France and China also have significant stockpiles of highly enriched uranium and the United Kingdom, France and Japan have considerable stockpiles of plutonium both for civil and military (excluding Japan) purposes, the group said.

There are now more than 400 commercial nuclear power reactors operating in 30 countries, which provide 15 percent of the world' s electricity, the group said.

Experts said militants need not break into a facility to obtain nuclear materials, as theft could be carried out by an employee of a facility that uses them.

Source:Xinhua
http://newscri.be/link/1069167

Google CEO says newspapers can make money online


WASHINGTON - Google Inc. Chief Executive Eric Schmidt told a group of editors Sunday that he is confident that newspapers will find new ways to make money online by harnessing the vast reach of the Internet.

Google CEO says newspapers can make money online
California Attorney General Jerry Brown, left, who is running for governor, shakes hands with Google CEO Eric Schmidt, right, during a talk to Google workers at Google headquarters in Mountain View, Calif., Friday, April 9, 2010. [Agencies] 
Media executives have accused Google of draining readers and advertising from newspapers' Web sites. But in a speech to open the annual conference of the American Society of News Editors, Schmidt said Google recognizes that newspapers are vital to democracy and provide a critical source of online content.

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"We understand how fundamental your mission is," he said.
Schmidt predicted that the news business will find a new model, based on a combination of advertising and subscription revenue. He said Google hopes to facilitate that, but he offered no specifics.

"We have a business model problem. We don't have a news problem," Schmidt said. He added: "We're all in this together."

Schmidt encouraged his audience to experiment with everything from social media to personalized content to engage readers.

"Technology allows you to talk directly to your users," he said.
He also said the news business needs to reach out to readers using mobile technology, delivering content through wireless devices such as Amazon.com Inc.'s Kindle, Apple Inc.'s iPad and Google's own Android smart phones.
Reaction to Schmidt's speech was mixed.

Anders Gyllenhaal, executive editor of The Miami Herald, said that even though Google drives a lot of traffic to his newspaper's site, he remains unconvinced that Google sees newspapers as true partners. "We really are going in different directions," he said.

Still, Jonathan Wolman, editor and publisher of The Detroit News, said he was "heartened to hear the Internet geniuses talk about newspaper content as an essential ingredient."

Source:  China, http://newscri.be/link/1069032



Why Can't We All Just Get Along?

The health care bill may be passed, but the road to reform certainly painted a polarizing picture of America. From a six-hour summit that failed to sway a single Republican, to shouts of "baby killer" and Tea Party protests, politicians and the public seemed to be from different planets. 

Psychologically speaking, perhaps they are, say experts, who weigh in on the reasons behind the seemingly endless acrimony these days over a slew of issues, from gay marriage to abortion. 

The reasons are many-faced, involving deep-seated personality differences, contrasting moral views, polarized political parties and today's 24/7, tell-it-all-in-great detail media, all of which prevent liberals and conservatives from seeing eye-to-eye, experts say. 

And at the end of the day, these divisions could explain why we can't all just get along.  

  Conflicting morals
Before they even get to the issues, liberals and conservatives are already starting off on the wrong foot for bipartisan agreement. Fundamental differences in morals and personality, paired with emotion-driven logic lead to a basic disconnect between the political bents. 

Jonathan Haidt of the University of Virginia and his colleagues have pinned down five basic "moral triggers," or the factors people use to judge right from wrong and that have evolved in human societies. Different cultures and even individuals  place more emphasis on certain triggers compared with others.
In a broad sense, they boil down to:
  • Harm/care: People are sensitive to suffering and have negative feelings toward those who are harmful and cruel. They value kindness and compassion.
  • Fairness/reciprocity: A history of cooperation means humans have evolved a sense of fairness and reciprocity, leading to altruistic actions.   
  • Ingroup/loyalty: People place moral value on those who do what's good for the group; are loyal to the group; and dislike disloyal members.  
  • Authority/respect: Humans tend to respect authority and tradition.
  • Purity/sanctity: The idea that we view our bodies as sacred. This idea ties into religious views about the body and human actions.
Studies have shown that liberals tend to care only about harm and fairness when considering whether something is moral or not, said Peter Ditto, a professor of psychology and social behavior at the University of California, Irvine, who is involved with Haidt's research. In contrast, conservatives have a more traditional moral structure, and tend to care about all five morality factors, he said. 

"So that's where a lot of the problems come in, is that the things that really bother conservatives don’t bother liberals very much," Ditto said. "And the two groups don't understand each other's morality very well." 

Take gay marriage, for example: "From a liberal standpoint, gay marriage isn't a problem, it doesn’t harm anybody, and it's only fair that gay people be allowed to be married just like straight people can," Ditto said.
But for conservatives, gay marriage goes against the traditional idea of marriage, and so presents a real moral problem, Ditto explained. 

Twisting the facts
These basic moral differences can then go on to drive the biased perception of facts, Ditto said. Often people don't agree on an issue, because they interpret — or misinterpret — the facts differently, or they simply ignore facts that don't fit their view. People on both sides of the political aisle do this, studies show, and so even what might seem like simple notions of "right" and "wrong" are judged based on altered realities by both parties.

"People process information, and it's biased to supporting their moral ideological view," he said. "And what you end up with is these sort of radically different perceptions of fact, so that it's not like they're just arguing about morals anymore; they perceive the world completely differently." 

This bias worldview might have its roots in emotions as well as morals.
"You tend to form emotional ties to the belief that you hold," said Steve Hoffman, a professor in the Department of Sociology at the University of Buffalo in New York. "And so you seek out that information, or those convictions, and those people that convey the convictions that you think you already have." 

Psychology research has also identified personality differences that might lead people to identify as either liberal or conservative. 

"If you have a high need for certainty, you like things to be very sure or certain, [and] if you have a high need for order, if you tend to see lots of threats and danger out in the world, you're more likely to identify as a conservative," said Christopher M. Federico, a professor of psychology and political science at the University of Minnesota. 

On the other hand, people with a lower need for certainty and order and who are less likely to see the world as a threatening place are more likely to identify as liberal, he said. 

In other words, ideological sorting is not meaningless. "It's not that you like Coke and I like Pepsi, or something like that; it's something that seems to go much deeper, and it's not psychologically arbitrary so to speak," Federico said. 

Polarized parities
So liberals and conservatives are different down to the core. And perhaps that's how it's always been. But are we really more partisan today than in years past? The answer depends on how you define "we."
If you're talking about the American public at large, the answer is not so clear. 

For instance, the number of Americans who identify as either Democrat or Republican has remained relatively constant over the last 25 years, said Morris Fiorina, a professor of political science at Stanford University. And the number of Independents hovers around 30 percent to 40 percent, he said, suggesting that most Americans actually have moderate views. 

However, gauging the extent of American partisanship remains difficult, Hoffman said, and there are some political scientists who would say America is more partisan today, he said. 

What is generally agreed upon, however, is that those who are actively involved in the Democratic and Republican parties seem to have become more divided in recent years. 

"If you were to randomly draw a Republican and a Democrat from the population today, they're likely to be further apart than if you randomly drew a Republican and a Democrat from the population 40 years ago," Fiorina said. 

In other words, each party is more ideologically homogenous, yet both are at more extreme ends of the spectrum, University of Minnesota's Federico said. "You don't see too many liberal Republicans anymore or as many conservative Democrats," as was the case about 50 years ago, he said. 

Case in point, no Republicans voted for Obama's health care bill in either the House or the Senate.
Added on top of this division is the fact that those who are more partisan are the ones who are most engaged in politics, according to Federico. 

"The people who are most likely to have an impact on politics, to get involved, to go to marches, to vote, to pay attention to the political media, are those that are especially undergoing all these processes that make people more partisan in a sense," Federico said. 

These extreme voices on the left and the right help to fuel the perception that America as a whole is more partisan, Fiorina said. 

"The people who are the public face of politics, who get on TV and who are on all the talk shows, and so forth, they are not only highly partisan, they are the most partisan of the partisans," he said. 

Same divisions, new media
Speaking of media, experts agree part of the blame for American partisanship, or at least the perception of partisanship, rests with the endless number of politically biased TV and radio shows, newspapers and Internet sites. 

While people have likely always had differences in their moral beliefs, and had a tendency to take a skewed view toward the facts, today's media allows such distorted notions to be reinforced, said Ditto, of the University of California, Irvine. 

"If I'm a liberal I can go to MSNBC, I listen to NPR, read liberal magazines, I read the Huffington Post," Ditto said. "If I'm a conservative, I go to Fox News, I read Michelle Malkin, I listen to Rush Limbaugh." (Malkin is a syndicated columnist, and Limbaugh is a radio host and conservative political commentator.)
"The two sides come in and they just fundamentally don't agree on even the most basic facts, because they want to believe certain things, and they're reinforced [by the media]" Ditto said. 

Hoffman agrees.
"There is this kind of rhetoric of absolute conviction, and it's either kind of a right wing conviction or a kind of liberal conviction," he said. "What effect that has, is that it both exacerbate the sense that we live in an increasingly polarized world, and [media pundits] also appeal to people's emotions and their kind of emotional processing," Hoffman said. 

The media and the Internet likely also play a role in fueling the spread of radical beliefs. For instance, a recent poll, conducted by Harris Interactive, found that 32 percent of those polled believe that President Obama is a Muslim, and about a quarter of Republicans in the poll think he may be the antichrist. The poll was widely criticized for not properly representing the public, but Harris pollsters stood by its validity. Either way, it illustrated a big gap in how the left and the right view things and how those views can be supported by the media. 

"The media give you the support that you need, and you're able to go and find those things, whereas in the past, it was much harder to find something that would support your beliefs, particularly crazy ones," Ditto said.   
 
While many extreme beliefs today, like those expressed in the Harris poll, seem to be coming from the right wing, the same biases also occur on the left, and at another point in history, extreme leftist views might have been more ostentatious.  
 
"To a certain extent the same thing happens on the left, and maybe at different historical times it would be more prominent on the left as well," Ditto said. 

By Rachael Rettner, LiveScience Staff Writer
posted: 11 April 2010 08:56 am ET
http://newscri.be/link/1068721